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MSP4: Climate-Energy Systems Interactions

Natural climate variability and long-term climate change operate on timescales that exceed the c.10 day limit of NWP schemes. Such variability and long-term trends constitute important drivers of the new IESMs (see MSP1). Our goal is to de-risk these climate-related drivers on two distinct timescales, that link respectively to operational decisions (e.g. energy hedging) and system-level planning in the industry. This will also provide climate-related risk data to MSP2. On monthly to seasonal operational timescales, we will build on recent improvements in climate model skill for the intra-seasonal prediction of the NAO (Scaife et al., 2014). On longer system-level planning timescales we are concerned with decadal scale trends and the associated increased variability in climate-sensitive RE resources (e.g. spatiotemporal variations in wind, wave, solar and freshwater) that will accompany long-term climate change. These also exert demand-side impacts (e.g. requirements for space heating, cooling, water consumption) and increased probability of extremes (e.g. heatwaves, droughts, floods, cold winters) (IPCC, 2013). It is crucial to take account of the stresses imposed on integrated energy systems to ensure system resilience during and after extreme events.

 

Members


Professor Frank McDermott
Co-Principal Investigator, Professor, Head of UCD School of Earth Sciences
Frank.mcdermott@ucd.ie
01 716 2331
Dr Conor Sweeney
Funded Investigator, Lecturer in Applied and Computational Mathematics, University College Dublin
conor.sweeney@ucd.ie
(01) 716 2358
Joao Monteiro Correia
PhD Researcher
joao.monteirocorreia@ucdconnect.ie
Dr Lucy Cradden
Postdoc Researcher
lucy.cradden@ucd.ie

Research Outputs


Conference

An investigation of dynamic selection of WRF PBL schemes for renewable energy forecasting in Ireland

2019; 6th International Conference Energy & Meteorology (ICEM 2019), Denmark; Seanie Griffin, Frank McDermott, Conor Sweeney

Conference

Spatial variability of incident solar radiation in Ireland and the UK linked to large-scale atmospheric pressure patterns: implications for solar energy generation.

2019; 6th International Conference Energy & Meteorology (ICEM 2019), Denmark; Joao Corriera, Conor Seeney, Frank McDermott

Conference

A multivariate spatial post-processing method for renewable energy forecasts

2019; 6th International Conference Energy & Meteorology (ICEM 2019), Denmark; Eadaoin Doddy, Frank McDermott, Conor Sweeney

Conference

A multivariate spatial post-processing method for day-ahead wind energy forecasts

2019; Wind Energy Science Conference 2019, Ireland; Eadaoin Doddy, Frank McDermott, Conor Sweeney

Conference

WRF planetary boundary layer schemes for wind forecasting

2019; Wind Energy Science Conference 2019, Ireland; Seánie Griffin (Frank McDermott, Conor Sweeney)

Conference

Multivariate spatial post-processing for renewable energy forecasts

2019; European Geosciences Union General Assembly (EGU 2019), Austria; Eadaoin Doddy, Conor Sweeney, and Frank McDermott

Conference

An investigation of the spatial correlations between Euro-Atlantic atmospheric teleconnections and winter solar radiation in NW Europe

2019; European Geosciences Union General Assembly (EGU 2019), Austria; João Correia, Frank McDermott, and Conor Sweeney

Conference

Impact of WRF PBL schemes for renewable energy forecasting in Ireland

2019; European Geosciences Union General Assembly (EGU 2019), Austria; Seanie Griffin, Conor Sweeney, and Frank McDermott

Journal

High Resolution Wind Power and Wind Drought Models

2018; The International Journal of Thermal & Environmental Engineering (IJTEE); Carroll, P., Cradden, L. and Ó hÉigeartaigh, M.

DOI | OA

Conference

High Resolution Wind Power Models - an Irish Case Study

2018; 8th International Conference on Sustainable Energy Information Technology (SEIT), Portugal; Carroll, P., Cradden, L.C. and O hEigeartaigh, M.

DOI | OA

Journal

A weather regime characterisation of Irish wind generation and electricity demand in winters 2009-11

2018; Environmental Research Letters; Cradden, L.C. and McDermott, F.

DOI | OA

Conference

A spatial analysis of shortwave radiation over Ireland

2018; European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018 (EGU 2018), Austria; Eadaoin Doddy, Conor Sweeney, and Frank McDermott

Conference

Regional wind-solar complementarity and atmospheric pressure patterns - a case study for Ireland & the UK

2018; European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018 (EGU 2018), Austria; Joao Correia, Frank McDermott, and Conor Sweeney

Conference

Representation of wind-solar correlations in reanalysis datasets

2018; European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018 (EGU 2018), Austria; Seanie Griffin, Conor Sweeney, and Frank McDermott

Conference

Large scale atmospheric circulation patterns and solar energy resources in the UK and Ireland

2017; EMS Annual Meeting: European Conference for Applied Meteorology and Climatology 2017, Ireland; Joao Correia, Frank McDermott and Conor Sweeney

OA

Conference

Variations in wind-solar correlations across multiple datasets

2017; EMS Annual Meeting: European Conference for Applied Meteorology and Climatology 2017, Ireland; Seanie Griffin, Conor Sweeney, and Frank McDermott

OA

Conference

An investigation of systematic errors in solar radiation in reanalysis models

2017; EMS Annual Meeting: European Conference for Applied Meteorology and Climatology 2017, Ireland; Eadaoin Doddy, Conor Sweeney, and Frank McDermott

OA

Conference

Characterising concurrent wind generation and electricity demand in Ireland with respect to atmospheric patterns

2017; 4th International Conference on Energy Meteorology 2017, Italy; Lucy Cradden

Journal

A 34-year simulation of wind generation potential for Ireland and the impact of large-scale atmospheric pressure patterns

2017; Renewable Energy; Cradden, L.C., McDermott, F., Zubiate, L., Sweeney, C. and O'Malley, M.

DOI